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	<title>Jim Garven&#039;s Blog &#187; Energy</title>
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	<link>http://blog.garven.com</link>
	<description>A blog exploring the intersection of economics, finance, insurance, risk management, and life in general</description>
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		<title>Assorted Links (4/2/2010)</title>
		<link>http://blog.garven.com/2010/04/02/assorted-links-422010-3/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.garven.com/2010/04/02/assorted-links-422010-3/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Apr 2010 16:20:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jim Garven</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Public Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Religion]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Here&#8217;s a list of articles that I have been reading lately: &#160; Holy Week, 2010 &#8211; The Big Picture &#8211; Boston.com Source: www.boston.com Today is Good Friday, when Christians commemorate the crucifixion of Jesus Christ. Good Friday is part of Holy Week, a series of religious holidays and observations commemorating the last week of the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here&rsquo;s a list of articles that I have been reading lately: </p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"></span><font face="VER">&nbsp;</font></p>
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<div style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a title="http://www.boston.com/bigpicture/2010/04/holy_week_2010.html" href="http://www.boston.com/bigpicture/2010/04/holy_week_2010.html" target="_blank"><font color="#0000ff" face="Verdana">Holy Week, 2010 &#8211; The Big Picture &#8211; Boston.com</font></a></span></div>
</li>
</ul>
</div>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><font face="Verdana">Source: </font><a href="http://www.boston.com"><font color="#0000ff" face="Verdana">www.boston.com</font></a><?xml:namespace prefix ="" o /><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a href="http://www.boston.com/bigpicture/2010/04/holy_week_2010.html" target="_blank"><span style="TEXT-DECORATION: none; text-underline: none"><font color="#0000ff" face="VER"><img style="WIDTH: 293px; HEIGHT: 183px" id="share_thumb_101325779909149" class="img_loading" border="0" src="http://inapcache.boston.com/universal/site_graphics/blogs/bigpicture/holyweek_04_02/h09_22861359.jpg" width="933" onload="var img = this; onloadRegister(function() { adjustImage(img); });" height="641" /></font></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"><font size="2" face="Verdana">Today is Good Friday, when Christians commemorate the crucifixion of Jesus Christ. Good Friday is part of Holy Week, a series of religious holidays and observations commemorating the last week of the earthly life of Jesus Christ and his resurrection on Easter Sunday.</font> </span></span></p>
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<div style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a title="http://hbswk.hbs.edu/item/6404.html" href="http://hbswk.hbs.edu/item/6404.html" target="_blank"><font color="#0000ff" face="Verdana">Why Are Fewer and Fewer U.S. Employees Satisfied With Their Jobs? &mdash; HBS Working Knowledge</font></a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><font face="Verdana">Source: hbswk.hbs.edu<o:p></o:p></font></span></p>
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<p><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"><font size="2" face="Verdana">With the increasing emphasis by business organizations on &#8216;green&#8217; initiatives for sustainability, maybe we are overlooking ways to improve the &#8216;sustainability&#8217; of workers, too, says HBS professor Jim Heskett . </font></span></p>
</blockquote>
<p><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"></p>
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<div style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a title="http://five-books.com/interviews/robert-barro" href="http://five-books.com/interviews/robert-barro" target="_blank"><font color="#0000ff" size="2" face="Verdana">Robert Barro | FiveBooks</font></a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana">Source: five-books.com<o:p></o:p></font></font></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a href="http://five-books.com/interviews/robert-barro" target="_blank"><span style="TEXT-DECORATION: none; text-underline: none"><font size="2" face="Verdana"><img id="share_thumb_108014849230013" class="img_loading" border="0" src="http://five-books.com/files/imagecache/500/robert%20barro%20great%20depression.jpg" width="273" onload="var img = this; onloadRegister(function() { adjustImage(img); });" height="207" /></font></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"><font size="2" face="Verdana">The Lessons of the Great Depression There&rsquo;s a strong tendency for the economy to recover on its own. A year ago governments saved their biggest banks from collapse, but now they are wondering how big really is too big. </font></span></p>
</blockquote>
<p><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"></p>
<ul>
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<div style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a title="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304252704575156052852906506.html?mod=wsj_share_facebook" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304252704575156052852906506.html?mod=wsj_share_facebook" target="_blank"><font color="#0000ff" size="2" face="Verdana">John Steele Gordon: As Peaceful as a Tea Party &#8211; WSJ.com</font></a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana">Source: online.wsj.com<o:p></o:p></font></font></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304252704575156052852906506.html?mod=wsj_share_facebook" target="_blank"><span style="TEXT-DECORATION: none; text-underline: none"><font size="2" face="Verdana"><img id="share_thumb_109274652435005" class="img_loading" border="0" src="http://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/WK-AT444_REVALU_C_20100401142857.jpg" onload="var img = this; onloadRegister(function() { adjustImage(img); });" /></font></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"><font size="2" face="Verdana">In The Wall Street Journal, John Steele Gordon writes that the only person arrested in recent days for threatening violence against a politician targeted Eric Cantor, the No. 2 Republican in the House.</font></span></p>
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<p><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"></p>
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<ul>
<li>
<div style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a title="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704896104575140063408610580.html?mod=wsj_share_facebook" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704896104575140063408610580.html?mod=wsj_share_facebook" target="_blank"><font color="#0000ff" size="2" face="Verdana">ObamaCare and the Constitution &#8211; WSJ.com</font></a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana">Source: online.wsj.com<o:p></o:p></font></font></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704896104575140063408610580.html?mod=wsj_share_facebook" target="_blank"><span style="TEXT-DECORATION: none; text-underline: none"><font size="2" face="Verdana"><img id="share_thumb_105484452823533" class="img_loading" border="0" src="http://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/OB-IA191_consti_DV_20100401183856.jpg" width="159" onload="var img = this; onloadRegister(function() { adjustImage(img); });" height="238" /></font></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana">The Wall Street Journal argues that if Congress can force you to buy insurance, Article I limits on federal power are a dead letter.<o:p></o:p></font></font></span></p>
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<p><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"></span></p>
<ul>
<li><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a href="http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/lomborg59/English" target="_blank"><font size="2" face="Verdana">Stumbling in the Dark</font></a></span></li>
</ul>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana">Source: <span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a title="http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/lomborg59/English" href="http://www.project-syndicate.org/" target="_blank"><font color="#0000ff">www.project-syndicate.org</font></a><o:p></o:p></span></font></font></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a href="http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/lomborg59/English" target="_blank"><span style="TEXT-DECORATION: none; text-underline: none"><font size="2" face="Verdana"><img id="share_thumb_100971333277284" class="img_loading" border="0" src="http://www.project-syndicate.org/author_photo/f/5/8/878_thumb.jpg" onload="var img = this; onloadRegister(function() { adjustImage(img); });" /></font></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana"><span class="storycomment"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">&#8220;At the stroke of 8:30 p.m. on Saturday, March 27, nearly a billion people in more than 120 countries demonstrated their desire to do something about global warming by switching off their lights for an hour. But the main thing that anyone accomplished by turning off the lights at nighttime for an hour was to make it harder to see&#8221;, says Bjørn Lomborg, who is the author of The Skeptical Environmentalist and Cool It, head of the Copenhagen Consensus Center, and adjunct professor at Copenhagen Business School.</span></span><span class="endquote"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></span></font></font></p>
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<p><span class="endquote"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"></p>
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<ul>
<li>
<div style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a title="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304370304575151864062976200.html?mod=rss_opinion_main" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304370304575151864062976200.html?mod=rss_opinion_main" target="_blank"><font color="#0000ff" size="2" face="Verdana">The Permanent Mortgage Crisis &#8211; WSJ.com</font></a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana">Source: online.wsj.com<o:p></o:p></font></font></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304370304575151864062976200.html?mod=rss_opinion_main" target="_blank"><span style="TEXT-DECORATION: none; text-underline: none"><font size="2" face="Verdana"><img id="share_thumb_104969366209866" class="img_loading" border="0" src="http://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/WO-AA317_FIREWA_C_20100331192014.jpg" onload="var img = this; onloadRegister(function() { adjustImage(img); });" /></font></span></a></span></p>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana">The Wall Street Journal: One more housing bailout to prolong the market agony.<o:p></o:p></font></font></span></p>
</blockquote>
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<p style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
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<div style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a title="http://www.american.com/archive/2010/april/americas-precarious-net-position?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+American+%28AMERICAN.COM+--+A+Magazine+of+Ideas%2C+Online%29" href="http://www.american.com/archive/2010/april/americas-precarious-net-position?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+American+%28AMERICAN.COM+--+A+Magazine+of+Ideas%2C+Online%29" target="_blank"><font color="#0000ff" size="2" face="Verdana">America&#8217;s Precarious Net Position &mdash; The American, A Magazine of Ideas</font></a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><font size="2" face="Verdana">Source: </font><a href="http://www.american.com/"><font color="#0000ff" size="2" face="Verdana">www.american.com</font></a></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a href="http://www.american.com/archive/2010/april/americas-precarious-net-position?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+American+%28AMERICAN.COM+--+A+Magazine+of+Ideas%2C+Online%29" target="_blank"><span style="TEXT-DECORATION: none; text-underline: none"><font color="#0000ff" size="2" face="Verdana"></font></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana">Our financial future is darker than generally expressed through deficit numbers&mdash;way darker.<o:p></o:p></font></font></span></p>
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<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"></span>&nbsp;</p>
<ul>
<li>
<div style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a title="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304252704575156031760261858.html?mod=wsj_share_facebook" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304252704575156031760261858.html?mod=wsj_share_facebook" target="_blank"><font color="#0000ff" size="2" face="Verdana">Daniel Henninger: Would the Founding Founders Love ObamaCare? &#8211; WSJ.com</font></a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana">Source: online.wsj.com<o:p></o:p></font></font></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304252704575156031760261858.html?mod=wsj_share_facebook" target="_blank"><span style="TEXT-DECORATION: none; text-underline: none"><font size="2" face="Verdana"><img id="share_thumb_109354045760061" class="img_loading" border="0" src="http://online.wsj.com/img/renocol_DanHenninger.gif" onload="var img = this; onloadRegister(function() { adjustImage(img); });" /></font></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"><font size="2" face="Verdana">Daniel Henninger writes in The Wall Street Journal that the resistance to ObamaCare is about a lot more than the 10th Amendment.</font></span></p>
</blockquote>
<p></span></span></span></span></span>&nbsp;</p>
<ul>
<li>
<div style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a title="http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article.cfm?articleid=2461" href="http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article.cfm?articleid=2461" target="_blank"><font color="#0000ff" face="Verdana">Inflation: &#8216;Financial Death by a Thousand Cuts&#8217; &#8211; Knowledge@Wharton</font></a><o:p></o:p></span></div>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><font face="Verdana">Source: knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu</font></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><a href="http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article.cfm?articleid=2461" target="_blank"><span style="TEXT-DECORATION: none; text-underline: none"><font face="Verdana"><img id="share_thumb_105251836178150" class="img_loading" border="0" src="http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/images/archive/033110_smetters.jpg" onload="var img = this; onloadRegister(function() { adjustImage(img); });" /></font></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Calibri','sans-serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"><font size="2" face="Verdana">According to Wharton insurance and risk management professor Kent Smetters, inflation &#8220;destroys the value [of investments] gradually by eroding real returns over time.&#8221; </font></span></p>
</blockquote>
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		<title>Assorted Links (9/18/2009)</title>
		<link>http://blog.garven.com/2009/09/18/assorted-links-9182009/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.garven.com/2009/09/18/assorted-links-9182009/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Sep 2009 12:45:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jim Garven</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health Care Reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.garven.com/2009/09/18/assorted-links-9182009/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here&#8217;s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic): Global Warming Kill Oil, by Peter Huber Wall Street Journal: &#8220;A carbon strategy the world can afford.&#8221; Health Care Reform Congress Veers Left on Health Care, by Kim Strassel Obama, Too Subtle to Lie, Misleads on Health Reform, by Charles Krauthammer [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here&rsquo;s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic): </p>
<p><strong>Global Warming</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204518504574419004080617302.html?mod=rss_opinion_main" target="_blank">Kill Oil</a>, by Peter Huber</li>
</ul>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><font size="1"><em>Wall Street Journal</em>: &ldquo;A carbon strategy the world can afford.&rdquo;</font></p>
</blockquote>
<p><strong>Health Care Reform</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204518504574418972536486170.html?mod=rss_opinion_main" target="_blank">Congress Veers Left on Health Care</a>, by Kim Strassel</li>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/wp-dyn/rss/linkset/2005/03/24/LI2005032401690_xml/~3/y8jls0kGizE/AR2009091703329.html" target="_blank">Obama, Too Subtle to Lie, Misleads on Health Reform</a>, by Charles Krauthammer</li>
</ul>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><font size="1"><em>Washington Post</em>: &ldquo;You lie? No. Barack Obama doesn&#8217;t lie. He&#8217;s too subtle for that. He . . . well, you judge.&rdquo;</font></p>
</blockquote>
<ul>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204518504574416623109362480.html?mod=rss_opinion_main" target="_blank">Mandatory Insurance Is Unconstitutional</a>, by David Rivkin and Lee Casey</li>
</ul>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><font size="1"><em>Wall Street Journal</em>: &ldquo;Why an individual mandate could be struck down by the courts.&rdquo;</font></p>
</blockquote>
<p><strong>Politics</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/18/opinion/18brooks.html?partner=rss&amp;emc=rss" target="_blank">No, It&rsquo;s Not About Race</a>, by David Brooks</li>
</ul>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><font size="1"><em>New York Times </em>: &ldquo;The backlash against President Obama is the latest iteration of a populist tendency against money being siphoned off by condescending elites and going to those who do not work.&rdquo;</font></p>
</blockquote>
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		<title>Assorted Links (9/17/2009)</title>
		<link>http://blog.garven.com/2009/09/17/assorted-links-9172009/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.garven.com/2009/09/17/assorted-links-9172009/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Sep 2009 16:15:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jim Garven</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health Care Reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.garven.com/2009/09/17/assorted-links-9172009/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here&#8217;s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic): Behavioral Economics The Devil Wears Fake Prada, by Alex Tabarrok Energy Energy &#8216;Sprawl&#8217; and the Green Economy, by Lamar Alexander Wall Street Journal: &#8220;We&#8217;re about to destroy the environment in the name of saving it.&#8221; Financial Crisis The Stimulus Didn&#8217;t Work, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here&rsquo;s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic): </p>
<p><strong>Behavioral Economics</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2009/09/you-are-what-you-wear.html" target="_blank">The Devil Wears Fake Prada</a>, by Alex Tabarrok</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Energy</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203440104574404762971139026.html?mod=rss_opinion_main" target="_blank">Energy &#8216;Sprawl&#8217; and the Green Economy</a>, by Lamar Alexander</li>
</ul>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><font size="1"><em>Wall Street Journal</em>: &ldquo;We&#8217;re about to destroy the environment in the name of saving it.&rdquo;</font></p>
</blockquote>
<p><strong>Financial Crisis</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204731804574385233867030644.html?mod=rss_opinion_main" target="_blank">The Stimulus Didn&#8217;t Work</a>, by John Cogan, John Taylor and Volker Wieland</li>
</ul>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><font size="1"><em>Wall Street Journal</em>: &ldquo;The data show government transfers and rebates have not increased consumption at all.&rdquo;</font></p>
</blockquote>
<p><strong>Health Care Reform</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/2009/09/cbo-on-baucus-plan.html" target="_blank">CBO on the Baucus Plan</a>, by Greg Mankiw</li>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2009/09/competition-and-concentration-in-health-insurance.html" target="_blank">Competition and Concentration in Health Insurance</a>, by Alex Tabarrok</li>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://dmarron.com/2009/09/17/how-much-does-the-baucus-bill-cost/" target="_blank">How Much Does the Baucus Bill Cost?</a>, by Donald Marron</li>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204518504574417681826041284.html?mod=rss_opinion_main" target="_blank">More Government Health Care Means A Smaller U.S. Military</a>, by Greg Zerzan</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Religion</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/20/magazine/20Prayer-t.html?partner=rss&amp;emc=rss" target="_blank">The Right Way to Pray?</a>, by Zev Chafets</li>
</ul>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><font size="1"><em>New York Times</em>: &ldquo;Americans aren&rsquo;t sure they know how to talk to God. Fortunately, there is plenty of instruction available.&rdquo;</font></p>
</blockquote>
</li>
<ul></ul>
<p><strong>Science</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/13/magazine/13contagion-t.html?partner=rss&amp;emc=rss" target="_blank">Are Your Friends Making You Fat?</a>, by Clive Thompson</li>
</ul>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><font size="1"><em>New York Times</em>: &ldquo;Nicholas Christakis and James Fowler say your friends &mdash; and even your friends&rsquo; friends &mdash; can make you quit smoking, eat too much or get happy. A look inside the emerging science of social contagion.&rdquo;</font></p>
</blockquote>
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		<title>Assorted Links (8/31/2009)</title>
		<link>http://blog.garven.com/2009/08/31/assorted-links-8312009/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.garven.com/2009/08/31/assorted-links-8312009/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Aug 2009 14:45:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jim Garven</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health Care Reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.garven.com/2009/08/31/assorted-links-8312009/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here&#8217;s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic): Economics NY Times vividly admits that min wage causes unemployment, and gov is to blame, by Casey Mulligan Professor Mulligan notes, &#8220;This article explains how NY schools are required to hire from a pool of senior teachers who must be paid [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here&rsquo;s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic): </p>
<p><strong>Economics</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://caseymulligan.blogspot.com/2009/08/ny-times-vividly-admits-that-min-wage.html" target="_blank">NY Times vividly admits that min wage causes unemployment, and gov is to blame</a>, by Casey Mulligan</li>
</ul>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><font size="1">Professor Mulligan notes, &ldquo;</font><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/29/nyregion/29teachers.html" target="_blank"><font size="1">This article</font></a><font size="1"> explains how NY schools are required to hire from a pool of senior teachers who must be paid more than entry level teachers. In effect, schools are required to pay more than the market clearing wage. The result: teachers are unemployed and classes go without teachers.&rdquo;</font></p>
</blockquote>
<ul>
<li></a)
<p><a class="article-title-link" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/30/business/economy/30view.html?partner=rss&amp;emc=rss" target="_blank">An Echo Chamber of Boom and Bust</a>, by Robert Shiller</li>
</ul>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><font size="1"><em>New York Times</em>: &ldquo;How a worldwide &ldquo;social epidemic&rdquo; of ideas is supporting renewed confidence in the economy.&rdquo;</font></p>
</blockquote>
<p><strong>Energy Policy</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203706604574370511700484236.html?mod=rss_opinion_main" target="_blank">Why Oil Still Has a Future</a>, by Daniel Yergin</li>
</ul>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><font size="1"><em>Wall Street Journal</em>: &ldquo;The Obama administration is using its brass knuckles to support Latin American thugs.&rdquo;</font></p>
</blockquote>
<p><strong>Foreign Policy</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204731804574382872711784150.html?mod=rss_opinion_main" target="_blank">Obama vs. Honduran Democracy</a>, by Mary Anastasia O&#8217;Grady</li>
</ul>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><font size="1"><em>Wall Street Journal</em>: &ldquo;Demand in the developing world trumps new technology.&rdquo;</font></p>
</blockquote>
<p><strong>Health Care Reform</strong> </p>
</p>
<ul>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203706604574378542143891778.html?mod=rss_opinion_main" target="_blank">Sorting Fact From Fiction on Health Care</a>, by Jerome Groopman and Pamela Hartzband</li>
<blockquote style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir="ltr">
<p><font size="1"><em>Wall Street Journal</em>: &ldquo;Current congressional proposals would significantly change your relationship with your doctor.&rdquo;</font></p>
</blockquote>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/KeithHennessey/~3/aXODwD7vq70/" target="_blank">Who should decide whether additional medical care is worth the cost? (part 2)</a>, by Keith Hennessey (Click <a href="http://keithhennessey.com/2009/08/28/who-should-decide-part-1/" target="_blank">here</a>&nbsp;for <a href="http://keithhennessey.com/2009/08/28/who-should-decide-part-1/" target="_blank">part 1</a>).</li>
</ul>
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		<title>Assorted Links (8/25/2009)</title>
		<link>http://blog.garven.com/2009/08/25/assorted-links-8252009/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.garven.com/2009/08/25/assorted-links-8252009/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Aug 2009 14:59:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jim Garven</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Game Theory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health Care Reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.garven.com/2009/08/25/assorted-links-8252009/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here&#8217;s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic): Energy Economics &#8216;Peak Oil&#8217; Is a Waste of Energy, by Micheal LynchNew York Times: &#8220;A careful examination of the facts shows that most arguments about the theory of peak oil are based on anecdotal information, vague references and ignorance of how [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here&rsquo;s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic): </p>
<p><strong>Energy Economics</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div class="article-header" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><a class="article-title-link" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/25/opinion/25lynch.html?partner=rss&amp;emc=rss" target="_blank">&lsquo;Peak Oil&rsquo; Is a Waste of Energy</a>, by Micheal Lynch<br /><em>New York Times</em>: &ldquo;A careful examination of the facts shows that most arguments about the theory of peak oil are based on anecdotal information, vague references and ignorance of how the oil industry operates.&rdquo; </div>
</li>
</ul>
<p class="article-header" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>Game Theory</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div class="article-header" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><a href="http://mindyourdecisions.com/blog/2008/10/14/can-a-rational-person-believe-in-miracles/" target="_blank">Can a rational person believe in miracles?</a>, by Presh Talwalkar<br />Mr. Talwalkar applies Bayes Theorem to assess Francis Collins&rsquo; argument (put forth in his book <em><a href="http://www.amazon.com/Language-God-Scientist-Presents-Evidence/dp/1416542744/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1251211150&amp;sr=8-1" target="_blank">The Language of God</a></em>) that&nbsp;rational people can believe in miracles.</div>
</li>
</ul>
<p class="article-header" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>Health Care Reform</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>
<div class="article-header" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><span id="ctl00_cphMain_ColumnHeader1_lblTitle" class="title_headline"><a class="article-title-link" href="http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2009/08/a-defense-of-the-public-option.html" target="_blank">In Defense of the Public Option</a>, by Alex Tabarrok<br />Professor Tabarrok argues that&nbsp;&ldquo;&hellip;health insurance reform will increase the market power of insurance firms and drive up prices.&nbsp; In this scenario, the public option at least has a raison d&#8217;etre, although whether it actually fulfills it&#8217;s purpose is an open question.&rdquo;</span></div>
</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Politics</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203706604574370301468452872.html" target="_blank">Obama&#8217;s Summer of Discontent</a>, by Fouad Ajami<br />Professor Ajami&#8217;s historical references are quite <em>apropos</em>, and I even learned about an interesting French phrase from reading this article:&nbsp;<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/L%C3%A8se_majest%C3%A9" target="_blank">lèse-majesté</a>. According to <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/L%C3%A8se_majest%C3%A9" target="_blank">Wikipedia</a>,&nbsp;&ldquo;&hellip;lèse-majesté is the crime of violating majesty<http: majesty wiki en.wikipedia.org>, an offense against the dignity of a reigning sovereign <http: wiki en.wikipedia.org monarch>or against a state.&rdquo; </li>
<li><a class="article-title-link" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203706604574370832806338544.html?mod=rss_opinion_main" command="open">Saving the Obama Presidency</a>, by William McGurn<br />Mr. McGurn draws some interesting (although perhaps somewhat speculative) parallels between August 2009 and August 1994. August 1994 marked a major turning point for the Clinton presidency, in the sense that in the wake of the failure of the so-called &ldquo;HillaryCare&rdquo; initiative, President Clinton &ldquo;freed&rdquo;&nbsp;himself from his party&#8217;s left wing and&nbsp;returned to the centrist themes on which he had originally campaigned.&nbsp;McGurn&rsquo;s question is whether&nbsp;President Obama will follow President Clinton&rsquo;s example, thereby &ldquo;saving&rdquo; his presidency.</li>
</ul>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Observations concerning some of today&#8217;s events in the worlds of finance, insurance, and risk management</title>
		<link>http://blog.garven.com/2008/09/15/observations-concerning-some-of-todays-events-in-the-worlds-of-finance-insurance-and-risk-management/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.garven.com/2008/09/15/observations-concerning-some-of-todays-events-in-the-worlds-of-finance-insurance-and-risk-management/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Sep 2008 16:27:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jim Garven</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Risk & Uncertainty]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://garven.com/blog/?p=49</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[1. Lehman Brothers and AIG: As John Markman cleverly notes, &#8220;&#8230;the Federal Reserve stood up to the big Wall Street financial houses on Sunday and essentially told them, &#8216;thanks but no thanks&#8217; on their request for a bridge loan to nowhere&#8221;. Consequently, Lehman Brothers (the 4th largest investment bank in the world) has filed for [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="Section1"><strong><span style="TEXT-DECORATION: underline">1. Lehman Brothers and AIG</span>:</strong> As <a href="http://129.62.162.212/weblogs/docs/riskmgmt/Markman_9-15-2008.pdf">John Markman cleverly notes</a>, &ldquo;&hellip;the Federal Reserve stood up to the big Wall Street financial houses on Sunday and essentially told them, &lsquo;thanks but no thanks&rsquo; on their request for a bridge loan to nowhere&rdquo;. Consequently, Lehman Brothers (the 4<sup>th</sup> largest investment bank in the world) has filed for bankruptcy protection, and its shares are trading today for 23 cents per share. Bill Gross made an interesting comment concerning Lehman and American International Group (AIG) this morning on CNBC; he noted that while AIG is technically solvent, it is highly illiquid, whereas Lehman is technically insolvent but otherwise quite liquid. Just one year ago, AIG had a market capitalization of nearly $200 billion, making it one of America&rsquo;s most valuable publicly traded corporations. Today, AIG&rsquo;s market capitalization stands at $18 billion. The problem AIG faces is that if this company can&rsquo;t resolve its liquidity problems <em>really</em> soon (like sometime within the next couple of days), then it risks being downgraded by the credit rating agencies. If AIG&rsquo;s credit rating becomes impaired, it stands to lose a substantial share of its client base. AIG is particularly heavily exposed to commercial insurance lines of business, and their clients have no interest in doing business with credit-impaired insurers. If this scenario plays out, expect to see AIG follow up with its own bankruptcy filing.</div>
<div class="Section1">&nbsp;</div>
<div class="Section1"><strong><span style="TEXT-DECORATION: underline">2. Hurricane Ike</span>:</strong> The three major catastrophe risk modeling firms (Applied Insurance Research (AIR), EQECAT, and Risk Management Solutions (RMS)) project insured losses of between $6 &#8211; $18 billion, primarily in the Texas counties of Brazoria, Harris, Galveston, Chambers and Jefferson. Since the Texas Windstorm Insurance Association (TWIA) is heavily exposed to insured properties in these counties, I suspect that claims may very likely exceed TWIA&rsquo;s capital base of $1.87 billion, which consists $370 million in a Catastrophe Reserve Trust Fund and $1.5 billion in reinsurance. Depending upon the magnitude of TWIA&rsquo;s Ike-related losses, private insurers in Texas could face assessments which would have the potential for setting in motion a financially vicious cycle in which future earnings and capitalization are impaired, which in turn adversely affect insurer credit ratings. Matters can only get worse if the Texas gulf coast gets hit with any more hurricanes any time soon. </div>
<div class="Section1">&nbsp;</div>
<div class="Section1"><strong><u>3. Oil Speculation</u></strong>: Apparently so-called &ldquo;oil speculators&rdquo; were <em>not</em> behind the large run-up in oil prices during the first half of 2008, any more than they were behind the subsequent retreat in oil prices during the past couple of months. Last week, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a report which provides compelling empirical evidence to the effect that financial trading hasn&#8217;t been driving price moves in oil markets after all. For a synopsis of this study, see the article from today&rsquo;s <em>Wall Street Journal </em>entitled &ldquo;<a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122143397998234079.html">See You Later, Speculator</a>&rdquo;. As I noted in my July 10, 2008 blog entry entitled &ldquo;<a href="http://blog.garven.com/2008/07/10/rebuttal-of-an-open-letter-to-all-airline-customers/">Rebuttal of &lsquo;An open letter to all airline customers</a>&#8216;&rdquo;, this finding comes as no surprise. Thankfully American Airlines has finally gotten around to removing the link from its home page urging consumers to &ldquo;<a href="http://capwiz.com/stopoilspeculators/home/">stop oil speculators by sending Congress an S.O.S.</a>&rdquo;&hellip;</div>
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		<title>So much for $4 per gallon gasoline prices</title>
		<link>http://blog.garven.com/2008/07/23/so-much-for-4-per-gallon-gasoline-prices/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.garven.com/2008/07/23/so-much-for-4-per-gallon-gasoline-prices/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jul 2008 23:09:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jim Garven</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://garven.com/blog/?p=37</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today, the unleaded gasoline futures contract which trades on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) closed at around $3.04 per gallon. Less than two weeks ago, this contract was trading north of $3.60 per gallon. The futures price essentially represents a wholesale price that excludes taxes, transportation fees, service-station markups and other costs. Nationwide, the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today, the unleaded gasoline futures contract which trades on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) closed at around $3.04 per gallon.  Less than two weeks ago, this contract was trading north of $3.60 per gallon.  The futures price essentially represents a wholesale price that excludes taxes, transportation fees, service-station markups and other costs.  Nationwide, the markup from the NYMEX futures contract to actual prices at the pump has averaged around 62 cents per gallon since January 2000 (which is when AAA began tracking this information).   Therefore, if there is reversion to the mean anytime soon, it is not unreasonable to expect prices at the pump to fall below $3.70 per gallon in the not-too-distant future.  The graph below (obtained from ft.com) shows this dramatic change since 15 July:</p>
<p><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href="http://bp3.blogger.com/_wLtgoLQCbJI/SIfWY4cnh1I/AAAAAAAABF8/7HX7qG1Dlwg/s1600-h/gasprices.jpg"><img style="margin: 0px auto 10px; display: block; text-align: center; cursor: pointer;" src="http://bp3.blogger.com/_wLtgoLQCbJI/SIfWY4cnh1I/AAAAAAAABF8/7HX7qG1Dlwg/s400/gasprices.jpg" alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5226381615544371026" border="0" /></a>Given this substantial (nearly 16%) drop in prices of gasoline futures contracts, current pump prices (averaging nationally more than $4 per gallon, and around $3.90-$3.95 in Texas) are not sustainable.  Barring a high severity natural or man-made catastrophe, pump prices have nowhere to go but down.  It will be interesting to see how long it takes for these lower prices to make their way through the supply chain.</p>
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		<title>The &quot;Prevent Unfair Manipulation of Prices Act&quot; takes junk science to a whole new level!</title>
		<link>http://blog.garven.com/2008/07/11/the-prevent-unfair-manipulation-of-prices-act-takes-junk-science-to-a-whole-new-level/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.garven.com/2008/07/11/the-prevent-unfair-manipulation-of-prices-act-takes-junk-science-to-a-whole-new-level/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Jul 2008 21:15:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jim Garven</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://garven.com/blog/?p=36</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[University of Houston finance professor Craig Pirrong understands well how energy futures markets function in the real world (see his Wall Street Journal essay entitled “Restricting Speculators Will Not Reduce Oil Prices”). While Congress’s &#8220;Prevent Unfair Manipulation of Prices Act&#8221; makes for some interesting political theater, it won’t put a dent in the energy crisis. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>University of Houston finance professor Craig Pirrong understands well how energy futures markets function in the real world (see his <span style="font-style: italic;">Wall Street Journal </span>essay entitled “<a href="http://129.62.162.212/weblogs/docs/jgarven/Pirrong_July11_2008_WSJ.pdf">Restricting Speculators Will Not Reduce Oil Prices</a>”).  While Congress’s &#8220;Prevent Unfair Manipulation of Prices Act&#8221; makes for some interesting political theater, it won’t put a dent in the energy crisis.  Finally, “<a href="http://129.62.162.212/weblogs/docs/jgarven/Onion_Ringer_July8_2008_WSJ.pdf">The Onion Ringer</a>” provides a cautionary tale from some 50 years ago when Congress last tried to implement a similar strategy for dealing with an economic crisis (AKA the &#8220;onion crisis&#8221;).</p>
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		<title>Rebuttal of &quot;An open letter to all airline customers&quot;</title>
		<link>http://blog.garven.com/2008/07/10/rebuttal-of-an-open-letter-to-all-airline-customers/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.garven.com/2008/07/10/rebuttal-of-an-open-letter-to-all-airline-customers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Jul 2008 23:28:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jim Garven</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://garven.com/blog/?p=35</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I received an email recently from a major airline company entitled &#8220;An open letter to all airline customers&#8220;. This letter has as it signatories 12 Airline CEOs, and it lays the blame for the airline industry&#8217;s current financial problems at the feet of all those &#8220;evil&#8221; oil speculators who are buying and selling oil futures [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I received an email recently from a major airline company entitled &#8220;<a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/25613293/site/14081545/">An open letter to all airline customers</a>&#8220;. This letter has as it signatories 12 Airline CEOs, and it lays the blame for the airline industry&#8217;s current financial problems at the feet of all those &#8220;evil&#8221; oil speculators who are buying and selling oil futures contracts. Of course, the timing of the letter coincides perfectly with recent efforts of the US Congress to turn oil speculators into scapegoats for the energy crisis rather than doing something which could actually make a difference, such as taking steps to increase supply and/or reduce demand for oil.</p>
<p>No wonder the US domestic airline industry is losing money hand over fist. The industry&#8217;s CEO&#8217;s apparently must not comprehend the most rudimentary economic principles which underlie global energy markets. I will be the first to admit that I am definitely not a particularly big fan of market volatility; e.g., I haven&#8217;t particularly enjoy watching my retirement assets go bungee jumping as they have been prone to do recently. I guess that I could blame all the evil short sellers for driving down the prices of my favorite stocks, but perhaps the real problem is that I am not that good of an investment analyst. I guess that I have been operating under the apparently <span style="font-style: italic;">mistaken </span>impression for the better part of my adult life that the whole point of going long, going short, and/or implementing various trading strategies using derivative securities such as options and futures contracts is that innovations such as these facilitate price discovery and help ensure that markets allocate resources to their most highly valued uses. I think that the energy markets are telling these executives that their business models are broken and that they better start thinking of ways to restructure themselves so that they and their firms can live another day, week, month, year, decade or whatever. The worst thing we can do as a society is to continue to shield the airline industry from the consequences of continuing to pursue unsustainable business models.</p>
<p>I also find it very curious that the CEO for Southwest Airlines is one of the signatories on this &#8220;open letter&#8221;, since Southwest Airlines has been making money hand over fist from hedging their energy exposures in the futures markets (according to a July 1, 2008 <em>Associated Press</em> story entitled &#8220;Airlines try to hedge against soaring fuel costs&#8221;, hedging (e.g., by purchasing futures contracts) has saved Southwest $3.5 billion since 1999). I guess when an airline takes positions in energy-related derivative securities, that&#8217;s okay; it&#8217;s just wrong for you or me or some other so-called &#8220;oil speculator&#8221; to do the same.</p>
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		<title>Cross-Price Elasticity of Demand</title>
		<link>http://blog.garven.com/2008/07/10/cross-price-elasticity-of-demand/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.garven.com/2008/07/10/cross-price-elasticity-of-demand/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Jul 2008 16:06:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jim Garven</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://garven.com/blog/?p=34</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[During the course of the last three months, Greg Mankiw has collected an interesting assortment of anecdotal evidence concerning the effect of high energy prices on all sorts of different transactions, including the demand for online courses, bicycle sales, small car sales, scooter sales, home buying practices, the demand for mass transit, and even the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>During the course of the last three months, Greg Mankiw has collected an <a href="http://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/search?q=Cross-Price+Elasticity+of+Demand">interesting assortment of anecdotal evidence</a> concerning the effect of high energy prices on all sorts of different transactions, including the demand for online courses, bicycle sales, small car sales, scooter sales, home buying practices, the demand for mass transit, and even the demand for camels and mules!</p>
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