Intrade.com US Midterm Elections Market Update (Friday, October 22, 2010)

Control of the House of Representatives

Probability

Democrats

10.30%

Republicans

88.90%

Neither

1.00%

   

Number of House seats gained by the GOP

 

20 Seats Gained

97.70%

30 Seats Gained

96.00%

40 Seats Gained

93.90%

50 Seats Gained

73.00%

60 Seats Gained

37.00%

   

Control of the Senate

 

Democrats

58.70%

Republicans

16.10%

Neither

28.80%

   

Number of Senate seats held by GOP

 

45 GOP Seats

95.00%

46 GOP Seats

88.10%

47 GOP Seats

84.00%

48 GOP Seats

70.20%

49 GOP Seats

48.00%

50 GOP Seats

30.30%

51 GOP Seats

20.40%

   

Senate Race Spotlight: COLORADO

 

Michael Bennet (D)

37.60%

Ken Buck (R)

60.00%

   

Senate Race Spotlight: CALIFORNIA

 

Barbara Boxer (D)

70.10%

Carly Fiorina (R)

29.50%

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