All posts by Jim Garven

My name is Jim Garven. I currently hold appointments at Baylor University as the Frank S. Groner Memorial Chair of Finance and Professor of Finance & Insurance. I also currently serve as an associate editor for Geneva Risk and Insurance Review. At Baylor, I teach courses in managerial economics, risk management, and financial engineering, and my research interests are in corporate risk management, insurance economics, and option pricing theory and applications. Please email your comments about this weblog to James_Garven@baylor.edu.

Assorted Links (9/8/2009)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic):

Economics

Professor Mankiw brings up a critical flaw with the Keynesian framework behind the so-called stimulus plan from earlier this year; that is, that the 1930’s style Keynesian theory relied upon by the U.S. Congress and the Obama administration is predicated upon the assumption that households and firms don’t care about the future and therefore are not forward-looking.  Once you relax this assumption, then the multiplier effect essentially vanishes as a result of the behavioral adjustments made by forward thinking (i.e., not myopic) households and firms.

Foreign Policy

  • The Afghan Stakes, by Bret Stephens

Wall Street Journal: “A U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan would have terrible consequences in the war on terror.”

Health Care Reform

  • A More Perfect Death, by Ross Douthat

New York Times: “Our move toward physician-assisted suicide springs from the same quest that leads us to spend nearly twice as much on health care as any other developed nation.”

  • ObamaCare’s Crippling Deficits, by Martin Feldstein

Wall Street Journal: “The higher taxes, debt payments and interest rates needed to pay for health reform mean lower living standards.”

Law and Politics

  • The Chance for a Free Speech Do-Over, by Ted Olson

Wall Street Journal: “Will the Supreme Court finally overturn McCain-Feingold and enforce the First Amendment?”

Assorted Links (9/5/2009)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic):

Economics

New York Times: “If you have paid college tuition recently, you probably have questions. Where does all that money go? And why doesn’t the price tag ever fall?”

UT-Austin economics professor Daniel Hamermesh provides an interesting “real world” example of a so-called “two-part tariff” involving revenue sharing arrangements between a local artist and the University of Texas.

Health Care Reform

  • How to Insure Every American, by John Shadegg and Pete Hoekstra

Wall Street Journal: “We don’t need radical change. Subsidies and high risk pools can get the job done.”  The proposal outlined by Messrs. Shadegg and Hoekstra bears a remarkable resemblance to the Mackey and Garven “plans!

Miscellaneous

  • Notable & Quotable, by Steve Malanga

Wall Street Journal: “Steve Malanga writes about what Alexis de Tocqueville and Max Weber would think of America today.”

  • Two Mongolias, from the Boston Globe’s “Big Picture” blogsite

Boston Globe: “Mongolia (the independent nation), and Inner Mongolia (a neighboring autonomous region of the People’s Republic of China) share a common history and geography, and have both evolved in recent years, centering much of their growth on their famous culture. Mongolia is a young democracy – its 1990 revolution less than 20 years old now – formerly a Soviet-backed communist republic, and much earlier ruled by many different dynasties back to Genghis Khan in 1206. Inner Mongolia continues to undergo a cultural shift as ethnic Han Chinese now make up nearly 80% of the population, and efforts at retaining Mongolian culture are being undertaken. Collected here are a number of recent photographs of these two Mongolias. (33 photos total).”

Political Economy

  • Warning: The Deficits Are Coming!, by John Fund

Wall Street Journal: “The former head of the Government Accountability Office is on a crusade to alert taxpayers to their true obligations.”

Assorted Links (9/4/2009)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic):

Financial Crisis

  • The Coming Reset in State Government, by Mitch Daniels

Wall Street Journal: “My fellow governors and I are likely facing a permanent reduction in tax revenues.”

Health Care Reform

  • Forecasting the Cost of U.S. Healthcare, by Robert Fogel

The American: “There is no need to suppress the demand for healthcare. Expenditures on healthcare are driven by demand, which is spurred by income and by advances in biotechnology that make health interventions increasingly effective.”  Nobel laureate Fogel notes, among other things, that “the long-term income elasticity of the demand for healthcare is 1.6—for every 1 percent increase in a family’s income, the family wants to increase its expenditures on healthcare by 1.6 percent.”

New York Times: “President Obama has drifted away from tackling the real problem with health care: perverse incentives.”

Politics

  • Obama’s Magic Evaporates in the Heat of the Health-Reform Debate, by Charles Krauthammer

Washington Post: “What happened to President Obama? His wax wings having melted, he is the man who fell to earth. What happened to bring his popularity down further than that of any new president in polling history save Gerald Ford (post-Nixon pardon)?” 

Wall Street Journal: “The Obama administration is young and out of touch.”

Assorted Links (9/3/2009)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic):

Economics

New York Times: “Slim and sleek as it is, the iPhone is really the Hummer of cellphones… Owners of the iPhone 3GS, the newest model, ‘have probably increased their usage by about 100 percent… It’s faster so they are using it more on a daily basis.’”  The iPhone certainly provides an interesting case study concerning the adverse consequences of limited network capacity bandwidth combined with the use of a flat-rate (as opposed to metered) pricing scheme.

Health Care Reform

Dr. Marron asks the following questions: “What are the ‘specific, feasible steps’ that policymakers could use to reduce the growth of health spending? In short, how can we bend the curve?” His answer (based upon references to a recently published Brookings study, contributions by Andrew Samwick and Keith Hennessey, and his own analysis) is “…a private insurance market in which essentially everyone is covered and insurance companies compete on cost and quality, but not selection.

  • In praise of mediocre health care

The Economist argues against a so-called “public option” and in favor of tort reform and altering regulation and the tax code as strategies for lowering health care costs.  I recently made similar points in my own blog entry entitled “My preferred approach for reforming health care”.

  • Maybe We Should Spend More on Healthcare, by James DeLong

The American (Journal of the American Enterprise Institute): The argument that we spend too much on healthcare makes little sense, and the current ‘spend too much’ panic will prompt us to cut costs at the expense of the future.

Miscellaneous

  • Some Theorists Withhold Best-Voting-System Award, by Carl Bialik

The “Numbers Guy” at the Wall Street Journal “…examines the way numbers are used, and abused.”  Today’s column reveals a very interesting voting theory conundrum related to a decision made recently by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences to double the number of best-picture nominees from 5 to 10.

Blogging, tweeting, facebooking, etc.

Today I was interviewed by a reporter from the Baylor student newspaper (aka the “Baylor Lariat”) about a teaching award that I recently received from the American Risk and Insurance Association.  Once we got beyond the particulars of the award itself, much of our conversation focused on the use of so-called Web 2.0 technologies like blogs and social media such as Twitter and Facebook.

I started blogging in 2004, and I have had course websites dating as far back as 1994 when I was a faculty member at the University of Texas at Austin.  Lately, I have also begun to experiment with extending the reach of my personal and course blogsites using social media networks such as Twitter, Facebook, LinkedIn, etc.  I became interested in using social media when I realized that a couple of (open source) WordPress “plug ins” exist which automate the publishing of blog content to these various other networks.  It remains to be seen whether this is a worthwhile experiment.  When I first opened a Twitter account this past spring, I didn’t get it at all.  It seemed like a colossal waste of time, since a large share of Twitter’s traffic can be arguably classified as “pointless babble”.  However, I have since realized that it may actually be an effective alternative to RSS as a way to publicize one’s blogsite, particularly with students, many of whom prefer using Internet-enabled cellphones over computers.  If this experience works (by enhancing “mindshare” with students and other interested parties such as news media and colleagues at other universities), then I’ll continue using it. If not, then I’ll pull the plug on it.

We (the Lariat reporter and me) also discussed how “enlightened” academic institutions are when it comes to faculty use of blogs.  I am impressed that my university provides WordPress support, although I am not aware of the extent to which my faculty colleagues use blogs or course websites for that matter.  My sense is that blogging is perceived by many academics as an unproductive activity, and it certainly can be to the extent that it distracts one from pursuing research leading to publication in peer-reviewed journals. There are some fairly well known cases where it appears that blogging may have been a factor in tenure denials; e.g., Daniel Drezner’s tenure denial from the University of Chicago Political Science Department in 2005. However, even Dr. Drezner admitted at the time that “Any decent social scientist must allow for multiple causes, so it’s not necessarily an either/or question. At the moment, I simply lack the data to confirm or deny any explanation”.  My sense is that there is now much broader acceptance of blogging in academic environments than there was in 2005, although I have no way to prove this conjecture (I can’t help wonder whether anyone has attempted to empirically study this question in a rigorous fashion).  For further discussion of this issue, I recommend Dani Rodrik’s blog postings entitled “Does blogging have an academic downside?” and “Scholarship vs. bloggership”.

Assorted Links (9/2/2009)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic):

Health Care Reform

Bloomberg: “Daniel Clifton, director of policy research at Strategas Research Partners, talks with Bloomberg’s Tom Keene and Ken Prewitt about the U.S. budget deficit and the political “liability” that the health-care debate has become for the Democrats.”

Miscellaneous

  • Wildfires in Southern California, from the Boston Globe’s “Big Picture” blogsite
  • Finding Good News in the Numbers on Cancer Deaths, by Carl Bialik

Assorted Links (9/1/2009)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic):

Economics and the Financial Crisis

Wall Street Journal: “Despite the rhetoric from Washington, we were never close to 25% unemployment.”

  • The Coming Deposit Insurance Bailout

Wall Street Journal: “Another lesson that federal guarantees aren’t free.”

Game Theory

  • Pay cuts or job layoffs—which one is better?, by Presh Talwalkar

This article provides an interesting analysis of the behavioral dynamics behind a firm’s decision to either implement pay cuts or laying people off.  In light of Mr. Talwalar’s analysis, I find it very interesting that the seemingly preferred mode of action amongst universities during this recession has been to implement so-called “furloughs” which represent temporary pay cuts; e.g., one friend at a public university told me that his university is “furloughing” faculty one day per month. 

Foreign Policy

Washington Post: “Sept. 11 Plotter Cooperated After Waterboarding.”

Health Care Reform

  • Cut Costs Without Rationing Care By Putting Patient Back In Charge, by Tevi Troy and Jeffrey Anderson

Investors Business Daily: “Decades of data confirm a simple truth: If we want to lower health costs, we need to put consumers back in charge.”

New York Times (December 2, 2008): Apparently, the UK’s National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (aka NICE), has decided that “Britain, except in rare cases, can afford only £15,000, or about $22,750, to save six months of a citizen’s life.”

Higher Education

  • What Will They Learn For Your $50,000?, by Walter Williams

Investors Business Daily: “When parents plunk down $20,000, $30,000, $40,000 and maybe $50,000 this fall for a year’s worth of college room, board and tuition, it might be relevant to ask: What will their children learn in return?”

Politics

Slate: “Assessing the media version of the Kennedy “legacy.””

  • The Obama Slide, by David Brooks

New York Times: “Most Americans still admire the president and want him to succeed. But if he doesn’t proceed in a manner consistent with the spirit of the nation and the times, voters will find a way to stop him.”

How to Fix America's Health Insurance Crisis: GET SOME

Although this video is somewhat dated (since it makes passing reference to the health care reform proposals of the 2008 presidential candidates), it provocatively illustrates why a nontrivial proportion of the nearly 47 million Americans who lack health insurance may be “voluntarily” uninsured.  Indeed, a recently released study by the Employment Policies Institute puts the number of uninsured Americans ages 18-64 who could likely afford health coverage at roughly 18 million people.  This video provides some anecdotes as to why this occurs.

]]>

How to Fix America’s Health Insurance Crisis: GET SOME

Although this video is somewhat dated (since it makes passing reference to the health care reform proposals of the 2008 presidential candidates), it provocatively illustrates why a nontrivial proportion of the nearly 47 million Americans who lack health insurance may be “voluntarily” uninsured.  Indeed, a recently released study by the Employment Policies Institute puts the number of uninsured Americans ages 18-64 who could likely afford health coverage at roughly 18 million people.  This video provides some anecdotes as to why this occurs.