All posts by Jim Garven

My name is Jim Garven. I currently hold appointments at Baylor University as the Frank S. Groner Memorial Chair of Finance and Professor of Finance & Insurance. I also currently serve as an associate editor for Geneva Risk and Insurance Review. At Baylor, I teach courses in managerial economics, risk management, and financial engineering, and my research interests are in corporate risk management, insurance economics, and option pricing theory and applications. Please email your comments about this weblog to James_Garven@baylor.edu.

Assorted Links (3/7/2011)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading lately:

“Necessary” Bank Bailouts Harm the Economy, Wreck the Banks

blogs.forbes.com

John Tamny channels Joseph Schumpeter: “The bank bailouts of 2008 continue to bring the broad economy harm, all the while restraining the ability of the banking system to get back on its feet. This shouldn’t surprise anyone. To put it simply, while business failure of any kind is always painful for investors and employees alike, it’s a happy sign of economic revival for revealing in living color that capitalism is working.”

The Young And the Perceptive

nytimes.com

Interesting essay on how “systematically” important errors often go undetected: “Could teenagers have caught Wall Street’s false notes?”

Do the Math (even if you’re getting a PhD in English)

21stcenturyscholar.org

This article documents, among other things, the persistent (and chronic) oversupply (relative to demand) of PhD’s in fields such as English, History, and Foreign Languages…

Deterrence in the Age of Nuclear Proliferation

online.wsj.com

“In The Wall Street Journal, George P. Shultz, William J. Perry, Henry A. Kissinger and Sam Nunn say the doctrine of mutual assured destruction is obsolete.”

‘Borders on Misrepresentation’

online.wsj.com

“Judge Vinson calls out Justice on its ObamaCare dishonesty.”

The Unhappy Paradox of Santa-Statism

online.wsj.com

As an alternative to Santa-Statism, AEI president Arthur Brooks channels Nobel (economics) laureate Friedrich Hayek: “As regards the economy, the government should provide a minimum basic standard of living for citizens, and address market failures in cases where government action can do so cost effectively.”

The Dictator’s Wife Wears Louboutins

online.wsj.com

“In The Wall Street Journal, Bari Weiss and David Feith write about Vogue magazine’s recent paean to Syria’s first lady, Asma al-Assad. Apparently Anna Wintour missed the trend: Middle Eastern tyrants are out this season.”

The Middle East Uprisings, their Economies, and the World Economy

advancingafreesociety.org

Thoughtful essay by University of Chicago economist and Nobel Laureate Gary Becker: “The revolutions and protests in Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Bahrain, and other parts of the MENA region (Middle East and North Africa) are the most important world development in the past 20 years, even though it is still highly uncertain about the types of governments that will emerge…”

When halfway isn’t

advancingafreesociety.org

“The negotiations on the continuing resolution (CR) began yesterday. The Administration’s new line, echoed by Congressional Democrats, is that their new offer “comes halfway.””

Costs of the New Government Activism

advancingafreesociety.org

“In “Activism,” a paper soon to be published by the Council on Foreign Relations, Alan Greenspan delves into the consequences of the recent surge of what he describes as “government activism, as represented by the 2009 US$814 billion programme of fiscal stimulus, housing and motor vehicle subsidies and innumerable regulatory interventions.””

George F. Will – Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich and the spotlight-chasing candidates of 2012

washingtonpost.com

“When Republicans do not recoil from question-rants, the conservative party is indirectly injured.”

Badgering the Witless

iowahawk.typepad.com

Very interesting followup by “iowahawk” on his previous post entitled “Longhorns 17, Badgers 1“. Among other things, iowahawk references Caroline Hoxby’s 1996 QJE paper “…which statistically controls for additional variables. Her main conclusions: collective bargaining increases the input provided to schools (spending, construction and the like), but actual decreases school output (test scores and the like).”

On the use of social media in higher education…

My own experience with social media in a university setting is at odds with what is reported in this Chronicle of Higher Education (CHE) article. In my opinion, social media complements, but does not replace, the classroom experience.

Actually Going to Class? How 20th-Century. – Technology – The Chronicle of Higher Education
chronicle.com
 
“”There’s not really much need for teachers anymore,” since so much material is online, says Dekunle Somade, a senior at the U. of Maryland at College Park.”

Assorted Links (3/5/2011)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading lately:

The Math Behind Scoring Systems for March Madness Pools – The Numbers Guy

blogs.wsj.com

“A biostatistician proposes a new system for scoring college-basketball prediction contests and other office pools.”

Longhorns vs. Badgers

cafehayek.com

“So are public schools in Texas worse than public schools in more ‘progressive’ states such as Wisconsin – as Paul Krugman, among others, argues? Read this post from Iowahawk and decide for yourself. (HT Steve Pejovich)”

We Don’t Need U.N. Approval to Save Libyan Lives

online.wsj.com

“Why is the Obama administration deferring to an international body that protects brutal dictatorships?”

Review & Outlook: Still Too Big, Still Can’t Fail

online.wsj.com

Interesting article on how the ratings firms rationally condition their credit analyses of large banks like Bank of America, JP Morgan Chase, and Citigroup upon the expectation that “…Washington will open the checkbook again” for these firms when the next financial crisis occurs…

The Weekend Interview with Paul Johnson: Why America Will Stay on Top

online.wsj.com

I first became aware of Mr. Johnson many years ago when I read thought provoking essay entitled “The Heartless Lovers of Humankind” (available on the web at http://bit.ly/eN3qXV). My favorite quote: “…intellectuals profess to love humanity and to be working for its improvement and happiness. But it is the idea of humanity they love, rather than the actual individuals who compose it.”

World’s Top Ten Gaddafi Toads

blogs.the-american-interest.com

“When Muammar Gaddafi, the ‘Commander of Islam’, Africa’s King of Kings and the Great Loon of Libya addressed the United Nations General Assembly at unusual length in 2009, he asked about the hanging of Saddam Hussein. “How is the member of a government and president of a country sentenced to hang?”

Charles Krauthammer – From Baghdad to Benghazi

washingtonpost.com

“Everyone is a convert to George W. Bush’s freedom agenda.”

Public Broadcasting Should Go Private

online.wsj.com

“In The Wall Street Journal, South Carolina Senator Jim DeMint says that if these outfits can afford to pay lavish salaries to their heads, they don’t need taxpayer help.”

Time to Get Serious About American Oil

online.wsj.com

“In The Wall Street Journal, Alaska Governor Sean Parnell asks why Washington is blocking oil exploration in states like Alaska and Louisiana when the Middle East is such a powder keg?”

The Desire for Liberty Is Universal

online.wsj.com

“Michael Novak writes in The Wall Street Journal that a rebellion against a cruel dictator is not the same as a choice for a polity of law and rights. But it’s an important first step.”

Dollar’s Reign as World’s Main Reserve Currency Is Near an End

online.wsj.com

“The U.S. dollar will soon have to share the role of the world’s currency, argues UC Berkeley economist Barry Eichengreen in The Wall Street Journal. He explains why the change is coming—and what it will mean for international markets and companies.”

The Case for the Dollar’s Continued Dominance

online.wsj.com

Here’s a counterpoint to Eichengreen’s article: “The financial crisis and the U.S. government’s troubled long-term fiscal position have triggered speculation about alternatives to the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. But many economists say there’s nothing ready to replace it.”

Gadhafi Makes the U.N. Grade

online.wsj.com

“The Wall Street Journal on the Human Rights Council’s opinion.”

The Minimal Impact of the Stimulus

nytimes.com

“The latest data on gross domestic product shows little benefit from the federal stimulus plan, an economist writes.”

EU Bans Sex-Based Insurance Rates

online.wsj.com

“The European Union’s highest court declared illegal the widespread practice of charging men and women different rates for insurance, roiling the industry and setting in motion an overhaul of how life, auto and health policies are written.”

Should We Invest More In Pre-Schools Or Parents? : Planet Money : NPR

npr.org

“We have too many eggs in the kid basket,” an economist says. “We need to spend much more time and many more resources on helping parents.”

The Massachusetts Health-Reform Mess

online.wsj.com

“In The Wall Street Journal, John E. Calfee notes that the health reform that served as the model for ObamaCare is in serious fiscal trouble.”

George Will can really put a sentence together

cafehayek.com

“The latest EconTalk is George Will talking about his career, the state of America, the state of American politics, baseball, and a few other things along the way. He is a beautiful talker. I particularly liked his thoughts on whether American politics hasn’t gotten any uglier in recent years. Enjoy.”

The Best Economics Papers Ever?

freakonomics.com

“In celebration of its 100-year anniversary, the American Economic Review asked six “eminent economists” (Kenneth J. Arrow, B. Douglas Bernheim, Martin S. Feldstein, Daniel L. McFadden, James M. Poterba, and Robert M. Solow) to select the journal’s top 20 papers ever published.”

 

Intrade Predicted 11 out 12 Oscars in 2010-11

Hat tip to Mark Perry, who points out that in 11 of 12 cases, the Intrade contracts correctly predicted this year’s Oscar winners.  Apparently the only “miss” within this group was the Best Director prize, which went to “The King’s Speech’s” Tom Hooper instead of “The Social Network’s” David Fincher.

CARPE DIEM: Intrade Predicted 11 out 12 Oscars in 2010-11.

Assorted Links (2/28/2011)

Here’s a list of article that I have been reading lately:

Who’s Paid More? Experts Can Disagree

www.nytimes.com

“Detailed analyses of whether state workers are overpaid have come down on either side.” Not surprisingly, liberal-leaning think tank studies tend to view state workers as underpaid vis-à-vis private sector workers, whereas conservative-leaning think tanks come up with the opposite conclusion…

How Beneficial is Widespread Medical Screening?

www.advancingafreesociety.org

Excellent essay on this very important topic by economics Nobel laureate Gary Becker!

Unions vs. the Right to Work

online.wsj.com

“In The Wall Street Journal, Harvard economist Robert Barro says that states should consider passing right-to-work laws that will reduce the power of unions. Collective bargaining on a broad scale, he says, is more like an antitrust violation than a civil liberty.”

Break a leg

www.economist.com

“Do you have the claim forms with you? WITH categories like “sound mixing”, “make-up” and “art direction”, this weekend’s Oscars ceremony appears to celebrate almost every aspect of film-making. Insurers, how ever, do not make the red carpet, which may be why Fireman’s Fund has started nominating the year’s “riskiest film”.”

Atlas Shrugged Movie

www.atlasshruggedpart1.com

“Atlas Shrugged The Movie finally makes it to the silver screen 54 years later. Based on Ayn Rand’s epic novel, the Atlas Shrugged Movie comes to a theater near you April 15th.”

Is ‘Shutting Down Government’ A Threat Or A Promise?

blogs.forbes.com

“Perhaps gridlock can accomplish what reason can’t.”

Risky Roadmap to $7 a Gallon Gas

www.huffingtonpost.com

“Some Persian Gulf watchers say more political uprisings, swelling strife throughout the Middle East,mean likely oil supply disruptions, higher crude prices and a bigger bite at the gas pump, perhaps as much as $7 a gallon.”

Indiana Governor Bores In on Federal Debt

online.wsj.com

“Gov. Mitch Daniels rescinded collective-bargaining rights for state employees six years before that became an issue in Wisconsin; now he ponders a G.O.P. presidential run with a stern cut-the-debt message that would usually be politically problematic but might fit the times.”

Go Ahead, America, Leave It to Bieber

online.wsj.com

“From commodity prices to the state-budget crisis, Justin Bieber has wisdom to spare, says Joe Queenan.”

B-Schools: It’s time to globalize

management.fortune.cnn.com

“New research has revealed a sizable gap between what the business world needs and what business schools provide to their students. What’s standing in the way and what can business schools do to step up their game?”

“Information Technology and Economic Change: The Impact of the Printing Press,” J. Dittmar (2011)

afinetheorem.wordpress.com

“Dittmar reexamines the case for economic effects of the printing press by looking at growth in city population – a good proxy for economic growth in the 1500s – in cities that had the press versus those that did not. He finds cities that got the press grew quite a bit faster than those did not.”

The Real Problem with Government Employee Unions

www.american.com

“Although collective bargaining by government employee unions may offend one’s sense of justice, what’s truly unacceptable is government labor’s stranglehold over the local, state, and federal governments with which they bargain.”

Federal effective tax rates (taxes as a percentage of income)

The CBO tracks “…federal effective tax rates (taxes as a percentage of income) across household income groups for the four largest sources of federal revenues–individual income taxes, social insurance (payroll) taxes, corporate income taxes, and excise taxes–as well as the total effective rate for the four taxes combined.” (Hat tip to George Mason University’s David Henderson).  The following link from CBO’s website slices and dices these data in all sorts of different directions: http://www.cbo.gov/publications/collections/taxdistribution.cfm.

Professor Henderson provides the following summary:

  • The bottom quintile paid 4.3 percent of income in taxes,
  • The top quintile paid 25.8 percent of income in taxes,
  • The top decile paid 27.5 percent of income in taxes,
  • The top 5 percent paid 29.0 percent of income in taxes, and
  • The top 1 percent paid 31.2 percent of income in taxes.

One important takeaway here is that while Social Security (i.e., the so-called “payroll” tax) “…reduces the “progressivity” of the tax system, (it) does not come close to reversing it”; federal effective tax rates are clearly quite progressive indeed!  Professor Henderson also parses some other interesting insights from these data – his blog post about this topic is well worth reading!