Assorted Links (10/16/2009)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic):

Economics and the Financial Crisis

“Borrow from the Federal Reserve at zero and lend to Treasury for a profit. That’s some racket.”

“Almost two-thirds of all bad mortgages in our financial system were bought by government agencies or required by government regulations.”

Health Care Reform

“Beating up on the insurers feels good but may not be the right medicine.”

Foreign Policy

  • Israel’s Secret War on Hezbollah, by Ronen Bergman

“Iran’s proxy army in Lebanon will think twice before launching another round of missile attacks.”

  • No Nobel Results From Obama Foreign Policy, by Charles Krauthammer

“About the only thing more comical than Barack Obama’s Nobel Peace Prize was the reaction of those who deemed the award “premature,” as if the brilliance of Obama’s foreign policy is so self-evident and its success so assured that if only the Norway Five had waited a few years, his Nobel worthiness would have been universally acknowledged.”

Politics

“We are a nation fully settled by government. The terrain ahead is both crowded and costly.”

  • The Reality Moment, by David Brooks

“Conservative politicians in Britain are treating voters as adults, offering not merely pain, but a different economic vision, and American Republicans should take a cue from their approach.”

Political Satire

“In his De Gustibus column, Eric Felten wonders what James Bond would have to say about a new CIA directive on global warming.”

Statistics

  • An Encyclopedia of Probability, by Carl Bialik

 

Implications for Capital Metro of the Price Elasticity of Demand

Last night on the local (Austin, TX) news, there was a segment concerning how the local public transportation agency (AKA “Capital Metro”) apparently is planning to raise fares. The reporter was speculating about how large of an impact Capital Metro’s pricing decision might have upon ridership. 

Earlier this month, I began teaching a managerial economics course in Baylor University’s Executive MBA program in Austin.  Fortuitously, I just covered the topic of the price elasticity of demand this past week.  This concept measures how sensitive product demand is to price changes for a good or service.  Therefore, I think that my MBA students and I are in a much better position than the reporter was to predict what will likely happen.  Since we know that the price elasticity of demand for public transportation is quite low, averaging around -0.3 in the United States, this statistic implies that the proposed fare increase should reduce overall ridership, but not by nearly as much in percentage terms as the increase in the fare itself. Furthermore, since market demand will decrease in response to an increase in fares, so will overall system costs, assuming that Capital Metro managers not only have the good sense to scale back costs in response to a decline in market demand, but also have the flexibility (particularly from a labor contract and labor relations viewpoint) to do so. The “good” news (from a taxpayer viewpoint, anyway) is that the net effect will be that Capital Metro’s “fare recovery ratio”, or FRR (which measures the percentage of the bus route’s cost that is paid by riders rather than taxpayers) should increase. According to a recent Capital Metro report (see http://bit.ly/2bbGi3), its FRR was just 9% in 2007. Out of 32 North American public transportation systems referenced at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Farebox_recovery_ratio, this is by far and away the worst FRR performance; the average FRR for this group is nearly 40%, and the standard deviation is 18%, which implies that Capital Metro is, in every sense of the term, a true “statistical outlier”.

Assorted Links (10/14/2009)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic):

Economics

“With U.S. debt set to exceed 100% of GDP in 2011, it’s no wonder people are looking for alternative ways to preserve wealth.”

Health Care Reform

  • The Baucus Bill Is a Tax Bill, by Douglas Holtz-Eakin

“Middle-class families would get hit with a double-digit increase in their marginal tax rate.”

Public Policy

“The big problem isn’t insuring net neutrality, but dealing with growth.”

Assorted Links (10/13/2009)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic):

Economics

  • Parsing the intellectual contributions of the 2009 Nobel Prize in Economics laureates, Elinor Ostrom and Oliver Williamson.

The day after the 2009 Nobel Prize in Economics was announced, there are all sorts of interesting commentaries emerging that parse the intellectual contributions of the new laureates, Elinor Ostrom and Oliver Williamson (including commentaries from past winners of the Prize):

Game Theory

  • Lying students and games of coordination, by Presh Talwalkar

Health Care Reform

  • Higher premiums and lower wages, by Keith Hennessey

Policy wonk Keith Hennessey offers a critical assessment concerning both the content and political economy of AHIP’s (America’s Health Insurance Plans) controversial PricewaterhouseCoopers research report.

Politics

“The committee didn’t recognize Truman, after all.”

Science

  • The Young and the Neuro, by David Brooks

“The work being done by members of the Social and Affective Neuroscience Society isn’t dehumanizing at all, and it is leading to a host of revelations about how people interact.”

Science and Religion

  • God vs. Science Isn’t the Issue, by William McGurn

“Seldom do we act as if life has no moral component.”

Assorted Links (10/12/2009)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic):

Economics

This year’s Nobel Prize in Economics goes to Elinor Ostrom and Oliver Williamson. The New York Times is running an article today entitled “Two Americans Share Nobel in Economics” which puts Ostom’s and Williamson’s intellectual contributions into context. The following excerpt taken from the official press release from the Nobel Prize Committee also provides some context:

“Economic transactions take place not only in markets, but also within firms, associations, households, and agencies. Whereas economic theory has comprehensively illuminated the virtues and limitations of markets, it has traditionally paid less attention to other institutional arrangements. The research of Elinor Ostrom and Oliver Williamson demonstrates that economic analysis can shed light on most forms of social organization.

Elinor Ostrom has challenged the conventional wisdom that common property is poorly managed and should be either regulated by central authorities or privatized. Based on numerous studies of user-managed fish stocks, pastures, woods, lakes, and groundwater basins, Ostrom concludes that the outcomes are, more often than not, better than predicted by standard theories. She observes that resource users frequently develop sophisticated mechanisms for decision-making and rule enforcement to handle conflicts of interest, and she characterizes the rules that promote successful outcomes.

Oliver Williamson has argued that markets and hierarchical organizations, such as firms, represent alternative governance structures which differ in their approaches to resolving conflicts of interest. The drawback of markets is that they often entail haggling and disagreement. The drawback of firms is that authority, which mitigates contention, can be abused. Competitive markets work relatively well because buyers and sellers can turn to other trading partners in case of dissent. But when market competition is limited, firms are better suited for conflict resolution than markets. A key prediction of Williamson’s theory, which has also been supported empirically, is therefore that the propensity of economic agents to conduct their transactions inside the boundaries of a firm increases along with the relationship-specific features of their assets.”

Economics and the Financial Crisis

Mr. Wesbury notes that “New job growth will follow this year or in 2010, but new tax burdens could keep unemployment higher than it should be.”

  • Economic View: A Bounce? Indeed. A Boom? Not Yet., by Robert Shiller

Professor Shiller notes that “New data on the housing market are startling, but may be just a signal of more price volatility ahead.”

Foreign Policy

  • Obama Indecisive About Afghan Strategy, by Charles Krauthammer

Washington Post: “The genius of democracy is the rotation of power, which forces the opposition to be serious — particularly about things like war, about which until Jan. 20 of this year Democrats were decidedly unserious.”

Wall Street Journal: “Henry Kissinger once noted that the only way to achieve peace is through hegemony or balance of power. Well, hegemony is out. As Obama said in his General Assembly address, ‘No one nation can or should try to dominate another nation.’ And if hegemony is out, so is balance of power: ‘No balance of power among nations will hold.’

Health Care Reform

  • Numbers matter, by Keith Hennessey

“Numbers are hard.  Some people find them boring… But numbers matter in health care reform.  I want to highlight some important numbers and economic forces in these bills that are receiving insufficient attention.  If these bills become law, these numbers will significantly affect your financial well-being.”

  • Cutting Calories for Cash, by Knowledge@Wharton

“A supermarket chain says it has held its employee health care costs in check by offering financial incentives for healthy behavior.”

Miscellaneous

  • Autumn scenes, from the Boston Globe’s “Big Picture” blogsite

Boston Globe: “It’s that time of year again, the Earth’s northern hemisphere is tipping away from the warmth of the Sun. Days in the north are getting cooler and shorter, leaves are changing, animals migrating and many harvests are underway. The wet summer in New England this year should make 2009 a banner year for brightly-colored fall foliage in the area. Collected here are a group of photographs of recent Autumn scenes around the northern hemisphere. (32 photos total)”

Assorted Links (10/7/2009)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic):

Economics and the Financial Crisis

New York Times: “Economic theory casts significant doubt on the claim that public purchases of bank equity would cause banks to lend more. Now the government’s own watchdog confirms the theory.”

Health Care Reform

  • The Lesson of State Health-Care Reforms, by Peter Suderman

Wall Street Journal: “The major provisions of ObamaCare already have been tried. They’ve led to increased costs and reduced access to care.”

Law and Religion

  • War Memorials and the Constitution, by Ted Cruz and Kelly Shackelford

Wall Street Journal: “Does the First Amendment really prohibit a cross on public land?”

Science

  • Nobel Awarded for Harnessing Light, by Kenneth Chang

New York Times: “Three Americans won the physics prize for work in technologies used in digital photography and fiber optics.”

Assorted Links (10/6/2009)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic):

Economics and the Financial Crisis

  • The Jobs News Gets Worse, by Floyd Norris

New York Times: “How bad is this recession in terms of job losses? The government’s data since 1939 shows only one time when there was a larger percentage decline in civilian jobs.”

Foreign Policy

  • How Israel Was Disarmed, by Bret Stephens

Wall Street Journal: “News analysis from the near-future.”

Health Care Reform

Wall Street Journal: “Will ObamaCare fund abortions?”

  • The War on Specialists

Wall Street Journal: “ObamaCare punishes cardiology and oncology to finance general practitioners.”
It seems to me that there will hardly be any need for so-called “death panels” under ObamaCare if the completely arbitrary, capricious, and draconian funding cuts for chronic diseases such as cancer and heart disease chronicled in this article actually get implemented.  The political class seems to be focused upon minimizing the costs of the system without considering the benefit side of the equation.  It seems like the most likely outcome of a centrally planned system for allocating healthcare resources that is focused on minimizing cost will be to oversupply health care for non-chronic illness and undersupply healthcare for chronic disease.  It won’t take long before the advantage (in terms of better outcomes generally for heart disease and cancer patients) that the U.S. currently enjoys over the rest of the world will disappear.

Human Interest Stories

  • A Doctor in Full, by Roger McCaffrey

Wall Street Journal: “The man who developed Gleevec could have said ‘wait.’”

  • Why I will be a virgin until I’m married, by Arleen Spenceley

St. Petersburg Times: This article also appeared in today’s issue of the Austin American Statesman. I link it here because I was so impressed by Ms. Spenceley’s honesty and integrity.  It is astonishing to consider how notions such as chastity and fidelity are in such short supply that I was actually somewhat surprised to find such an article appear in the opinion pages of my local newspaper!

Politics and Public Policy

  • Bentham vs. Hume, by David Brooks

New York Times: “This country is about to have a big debate over whether government should be actively involved in organizing and promoting innovation.”

Assorted Links (10/5/2009)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic):

Finance

Mike Konczal writes, “The best, and I mean the best, put option contract for consumers ever conceived, is written right into The Constitution”.  This quote, of course, is in reference to bankruptcy.  I particularly appreciate how Mr. Konczal photoshopped the famous Black-Scholes partial differential equation (which provides the math and economics framework  for pricing options) into the text of the Constitution:

 

Financial Crisis

Dr. Miron notes that “Letting small banks fail while protecting big banks means, of course, that the big banks face less competition and get still bigger over time, so they are even more likely in future to be regarded as Too Big to Fail.”

Foreign Policy

  • Iran’s Big Victory in Geneva, by John Bolton

Wall Street Journal: “We are now even further from eliminating Tehran’s threat.”

  • Revolutionary Anti-Semitism, by Mary O’Grady

Wall Street Journal: “Chávez imports Ahmadinejad’s ideology to Latin America.”

Health Care Reform

Wall Street Journal: “Though we weren’t invited to the White House, here are better ideas to increase coverage for the uninsured.”

Assorted Links (10/2/2009)

Here’s a list of articles that I have been reading today (organized by topic):

Economics

Wall Street Journal: “Union leaders hated the flexible work rules and eventually got rid of them.”

  • The Young and the Jobless

Wall Street Journal: “The minimum wage hike has driven the wages of teen employees down to $0.00.”

Wall Street Journal: “The Whole Foods founder talks about his Journal health-care op-ed that spawned a boycott, how he deals with unions, and why he thinks CEOs are overpaid.”

Foreign Policy

  • Obama’s French Lesson, by Charles Krauthammer

Washington Post: Quote from French President Sarkozy: “President Obama, I support the Americans’ outstretched hand. But what did the international community gain from these offers of dialogue? Nothing.”